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Any bets on when the wind is going to die down?

5K views 47 replies 33 participants last post by  EndTuition 
#1 ·
I've taken the weekends of May 6th and May 13th off to go offshore but we wont be going out if swells are higher than 3ft.... What do ya'll think my odds are?

Heading out of Packery.
 
#19 ·
My log book shows me the week of July 4th ...plus minus 10 days or if El Nino comes of this ....late August or early September... of coarse allowing for a hurricane or two in the mix....after the joke of all jokes ,Snapper "Season",is long gone with no rec fishermen participation.........& $4 gas d l
 
#21 ·
For what it's worth - La Nina conditions that bring us hot, dry, and windy conditions should go neutral by early June. This could open up the SE trades to more tropical moisture coming in, and easterly waves that sometimes cause tropical storms, coastal thunderstorms, and so forth. Nobody can really predict this stuff but that's the general sense I get.
 
#27 ·
For what it's worth - La Nina conditions that bring us hot, dry, and windy conditions should go neutral by early June. This could open up the SE trades to more tropical moisture coming in, and easterly waves that sometimes cause tropical storms, coastal thunderstorms, and so forth. Nobody can really predict this stuff but that's the general sense I get.
Been wondering about this myself. Seems it's time for La Nina to go away. Is this something you read, heard or feel?

Hmmmmmm?
 
#29 ·
Don't bet on mother nature. I would say the end of May,the wind's should lay down some. Though I would not bet on it. Most spring weather patterns are windy along the Texas coast,though not like this. We also need a lot of rain,and soon.
Out................
 
#30 ·
Well I've been making a lot of pinto beans and eating a bunch of burritos, trying to BREAK WIND.

I've been breaking the wind so bad these days I hope Al Gore doesn't arrest my arse for global warming.

Bad wind go away! Pffffffttttttttt!

(makes the dog's ears look all funny)
 
#32 ·
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.html

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

I also read Jeff Masters on the Weather Underground, and Eric "the science guy" at the Houston Chronicle ain't bad at times.

I've got about as many weather links as y'all got snapper numbers! :cheers:

I even have our local NWS on Facebook, some long-range stuff there and I bet you can get your regional office as well

http://www.facebook.com/permalink.p...y#!/US.NationalWeatherService.Brownsville.gov
 
#40 ·
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.html

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

I also read Jeff Masters on the Weather Underground, and Eric "the science guy" at the Houston Chronicle ain't bad at times.

I've got about as many weather links as y'all got snapper numbers! :cheers:

I even have our local NWS on Facebook, some long-range stuff there and I bet you can get your regional office as well

http://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=10150578604675294&id=709980293&ref=notif&notif_t=feed_comment_reply#!/US.NationalWeatherService.Brownsville.gov
The reason I asked ....

As a State of Texas Nurseryman I attended a seminar a few years back and the presentation was by the chief Meteorologist of the southern region.

When asked about the effect of La Nina and El Nino on our hurricane outlook he said ....

"....Although we tend to forecast more storms during the El Nino effect the truth is that of the five (5) highest storm count years .... two (2) occurred during a dominating El Nino, two (2) occurred during a La Nina dominated season and one (1) occurred during a neutral year..."

He indicated that because there is an El Nino it didn't always mean we were going to have more tropical activity but stopped short of saying that evaluation was not worthwhile.
 
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